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The Texans enter Week 13 as the lowest-scoring team in the NFL and have only covered the spread once in their last seven games against the Colts. SportsLine's model projects a big day for Indianapolis quarterback Carson Wentz , who is expected to throw for yards and two touchdowns. The Colts are covering the spread in more than 60 percent of simulations. It's the third-largest spread of the week, per the Week 13 NFL Vegas odds at Caesars Sportsbook, and SportsLine's model sees an opportunity for anyone willing to take a large underdog.

Kansas City has found itself again after early season struggles, but this game will test how potent the Chiefs really are. The Broncos may have traded away Von Miller , but their defense has still held opponents under total yards in their last four games.

Quarterback Teddy Bridgewater has been cooking up a strong season that has supplied the team with enough competent play to win games. SportsLine's model projects him to get an assist from running backs Melvin Gordon and Javonte Williams , both of whom the model projects to get 60 yards on five yards per carry. SportsLine's simulations have Denver covering the spread well over 60 percent of the time. You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine.

The Dolphins are against the spread in their last seven games and the home team is against the spread in the last four meetings between these teams. Cincinnati has lost three straight and is in the AFC North cellar at The Bengals are playing out the string without rookie quarterback Joe Burrow , who tore multiple ligaments in his knee against Washington on Nov.

Brandon Allen has taken over, though he went just of for yards and a touchdown in a loss to the Giants last week. SportsLine's model says the Dolphins cover in over 60 percent of simulations. The over You can only get every pick for every game here. What NFL picks can you make with confidence in Week 13?

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